Lorenzo Carboni vs Filippo Mazzola Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Carboni has a slight edge in recent second serve performance, winning 40.07% of points compared to Mazzola's 38.41%. Could this be a decisive factor?
• On return games, Mazzola surpasses Carboni by capturing 50.58% of opponent's second serve points, while Carboni wins 47.25% in a similar situation.
• In saving breakpoints under pressure, Carboni excels, saving 53.03%, whereas Mazzola manages a 50% save rate. Does this make Carboni more resilient in crucial game moments?
• Throughout the past year, Carboni has a stronger match win rate at 59.15% compared to Mazzola's 52.83%, indicating a slight advantage.
• Both players favor playing on hard surfaces, although Carboni shows a more significant winning record at 68%, outpacing Mazzola's 62%.
• In terms of event level, both have predominantly competed in $10K tournaments, with Carboni proving superior by winning 63.93% of his matches versus Mazzola's 52.83%.
• Head-to-head records favor Mazzola, who won their only past encounter, implying psychological leverage in the matchup. How crucial is their past meeting in foreseeing the upcoming result?
• Carboni has been facing less challenging opponents, with an average rank of 372.31, whereas Mazzola has played against higher-ranked competitors, averaging 183.49.
• In deciding sets, Carboni outperforms with a 57% victory rate, contrasting Mazzola's 43% success rate, a potential indicator should the match stretch to the distance.
• Carboni significantly outperforms Mazzola in break point conversions, capitalizing on 40.58% of opportunities versus 29.89% from Mazzola.

Editorial Prediction (May 20, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing both players' performance metrics, Carboni holds a slight statistical edge in some key areas, including second serve performance and breakpoint conversions. This indicates potential advantages in close game scenarios.

Meanwhile, Mazzola shows strength in return games and an impressive past victory against Carboni, suggesting the psychological edge and the ability to challenge when it matters.

Despite Mazzola's superior opponent ranks faced and previous head-to-head win, Carboni's consistent match-winning form, surface proficiency, and breakpoint efficiency might shift the balance in his favor for this encounter.

Considering the statistical insights and prior match outcomes, Carboni appears slightly more likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming tennis match.